Figure 11: Two episodes of provocation followed by relative calm; early 1983

Palestinians Israel Conflict Cooperation Conflict Palestinians Israel TFT and Olive Branch Rules   Meta-
Patterns
Figure 11

Time period displayed: 23 February 1983 to 24 May 1983

Guide to Symbols

Cooperation and conflict events

Figure 1   Palestinian material cooperation

Figure 1   Palestinian verbal cooperation

Figure 1   Palestinian verbal conflict

Figure 1   Palestinian material conflict

Figure 1   Israeli material cooperation

Figure 1   Israeli verbal cooperation

Figure 1   Israeli verbal conflict

Figure 1   Israeli material conflict

Tit-for-Tat and Olive Branch Rules

green solid left triangle   Palestinian material conflict above threshold of 2 events in 8 days

blue solid right triangle   Israeli material conflict above threshold of 4 events in 8 days

Figure 1   Material conflict tit-for-tat

Figure 1   Provocation: material conflict without prior material conflict by opponent

solid yellow square   Material cooperation tit-for-tat

yellow open square   Material cooperation without prior material cooperation by opponent

gold right triangle   Palestinian olive branch

gold left triangle   Israeli olive branch

Meta-Rules

Figure 1   No material cooperation from either side; only one side is expressing material conflict

Figure 1   No material cooperation from either side; both sides are expressing material conflict

Figure 1   No material conflict from either side; both sides are expressing material cooperation

Figure 1   Material conflict form either or both sides and material cooperation from either or both sides

Source:

“Analyzing Israeli-Palestinian Event Data Using Discrete Sequence Rule Models”
Valerie M. Hudson, Brigham Young University
Philip A. Schrodt, University of Kansas
Ray D. Whitmer, Jhax Ltd.